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Celtic v Kilmarnock (Match Preview)


Probabilities for the match are - Celtic 79%, Kilmarnock 7% and 14% the draw.



Kilmarnock are 8th in the league on 7pts which is the same pts as Ross County in 11th. They are 6th for xG on 8.8 (7 goals) and they are 5th for xGA on 7.8 (8 goals conceded).


They are 2nd in the league for accurate crosses per match at 6.3 and 2nd for fouls per match at 13.3. They are 3rd for possession won in the final 3rd (behind Celtic and Ross County) on 5.1 per 90.


Kilmarnock were at home to St Mirren in their last game and they lined up with the following;

  • 1 Will Dennis

  • 5 Lewis Mayo, 4 Joe Wright and 17 Stuart Findlay

  • 8 Brad Lyons

  • 11 Danny Armstrong, 16 Kyle Magennis, 10 Matthew Kennedy and 3 Corrie Ndaba

  • 9 Kyle Vassell and 18 Innes Cameron


Subs used were central midfielder David Watson, striker Andrew Dallas and central midfielder Liam Polworth and they came on for Magennis, Cameron and Lyons.


Unused subs were goalkeeper Kieran O'Hara, central defender Robbie Deas, midfielder Rory McKenzie, midfielder Thomas Davies, central midfielder Liam Donnelly and wing back Fraser Murray.

Top for xG are Armstrong (16th in SPFL) on 0.46 per 90 and Vassell on 0.24 (37th). Top for xA are Armstrong (2nd) on 0.45 and Dallas on 0.30 (6th).


Wright is top of SPFL for block per 90 (2.0).


Dallas is 6th in the SPFL for possession won in the final 3rd on 1.7.

Dennis has conceded 7 goals and his expected goals conceded is 8.4 and he's 4th for save % at 74.1%.


Top rated player is Brad Lyons (7.43) which is 19th in the SPFL. In the game against St Mirren best for xG were Lyons 0.2 and Kennedy 0.18 and best for xA were Armstrong 0.13 and Kennedy 0.10. Shot map for the game below (Kilmarnock left);

In this game Kilmarnock had 0.73 xG and only 0.43 Post Shot xG with St Mirren on 0.79 xG and 0.52 Post Shot xG. Kilmarnock had 54% possession in the game.


The game was a 1-1 draw with Kilmarnock winning for 12 minutes of the game.


In the League Cup game between the sides in August in which Kilmarnock won 1-0 the xG was 1.03 for Celtic and 0.84 for Kilmarnock.



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