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Celtic v Lazio (Match Preview)



Probabilities for the match are - Celtic 34%, Lazio 40% and 26% the draw.

Lazio were 2nd in the league last season 16 points behind Napoli. However this season so far they are 15th.

They are a Pot 3 team but their ELO ranking of 35 has them ranked 20th out of the 32 teams in the Champions League this season meaning they are higher ranked than Pot 1 team Feyenoord.

In their latest league game on Saturday against AC Milan away they lined up with the following;


  • 94 Ivan Provedel

  • 77 Adam Marusic, 15 Nicolo Casale, 13 Alessio Romagnoli and 23 Elseid Hysaj

  • 8 Matteo Guendouzi, 65 Nicolo Rovella and 10 Luis Alberto

  • 7 Felipe Anderson, 19 Valentin Castellanos and 20 Mattia Zaccagni

Subs used were 32 year old Uruguayan central midfielder Matias Vecino, Japanese central midfielder Daichi Kamada, 36 year old Spanish winger Pedro Rodriguez, 33 year old striker Ciro Immobile and Danish winger Gustav Isaksen.


Unused subs were goalkeeper Sepe, Greek goalkeeper Mandas, left back Pellegrini, Spanish centre back Patric, right back Lazzari, Spanish under 21 centre back Gila and central midfielder Danilo Cataldi.


There were 3 changes to the line up from the previous week with Lazzari dropping out and Marusic moving over to right back and Hysaj coming in. Vecino made way for Guendouzi and Immobile dropped out for Castellanos.


  • Provedel has conceded 2.8 goals more than expected (17th) this season

  • Montenegro international Marusic has played 227 times for Lazio

  • Centre back Casale has had 1 cap for Italy Under 21's

  • ex-Milan centre back Romagnoli has had 13 caps for Italy and he played 247 times for AC Milan.

  • Left back Hysaj is averaging 4.8 clearances per 90 (7th) and he had 223 appearances for Napoli before signing for Lazio and he has 77 caps for Albania.

  • French international midfielder Guendouzi is on loan from Marseille and has created 0 chances this season

  • Central midfielder Rovella is 2nd in the league for interceptions at 2.9 per 90 but like Guendouzi he hasn't created any chances this season

  • 31 year old Spanish midfielder Alberto has created 17 chances this season (4th) and has 1.19 xA. He played 12 games for Liverpool and he has the top rating in the team at 7.54.

  • Brazilian international Anderson has had 3 assists this season (joint 2nd) and has 1.15 xA and 0.77 xG but no goals. He had 177 appearances for Lazio the first time round and 106 this time and he played 73 times for West Ham.

  • Argentinian Castellanos was signed from New York City and is 5th in the league at 0.71 xG per 90 but has 0 goals and he has created 2 chances. He is 3rd in the league for fouls per 90 at 4.3.

  • Left winger Zaccagni has 3 caps for Italy and has 1 goal this season and 0.79 xG. He has created 8 chances and has an xA of 0.71.


Immobile has the 9th best xG in the league at 2.1 and Pellegrini is 6th for successful dribbles per 90 at 3.5. In their last game against Milan they lost 2-0 and they had an xG of 0.52 versus Milan's 2.24. Post Shot xG was only 0.11 for Lazio. Lazio had a very low xG per shot of 0.04 and you can see that from their shop map below (right) where only 3 shots were inside the box.

Lazio are 11th best for xG in Serie A this season and they are 15th best for xG conceded. For xPts they are 15th.




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