Probabilities for the match are Celtic 79%, St Mirren 7% and 16% for the draw.
Against Celtic two and a half weeks ago St Mirren lined up with the following;
1 Trevor Carson
23 Ryan Strain, 4 Joe Shaughnesy, 31 Declan Gallagher, 18 Charles Dunne and 3 Scott Tanser
17 Keanu Baccus, 16 Ethan Erhahon and 13 Alex Gogic
7 Jonah Ayunga and 10 Curtis Main
Since that game Erhahon has been sold to Lincoln and in has come Thierry Small from Southampton and Tony Watt from Dundee Utd.
St Mirren were 4th in the league before Saturday but after their defeat to Hibs they have dropped to 6th. However for expected points St Mirren are actually 3rd bottom.
In the game at Celtic Park in January Celtic had 2.14 xG while St Mirren had 0.47 xG.
Contributors for St Mirren in that game for xG were Gogic 0.24 and Gallagher 0.12 and for xA Gallagher 0.22 and Ayunga 0.11.
22% of St Mirren’s conceded goals have come in the 15 minute spell just after half time.
St Mirren are averaging 23.4 crosses per match this season and that’s the 4th most in the league after Rangers, Hibs and Celtic.
St Mirren are very direct with only 27% of their passes being backward and that’s the lowest of any team in the league and 26.1% of their passes are long balls which is the 2nd highest in the league (behind Livingston on 27.6%).
They are averaging 32% of the game being played in the final 3rd and that’s 3rd in the league behind Rangers and Celtic. Their opponents are averaging 24.25 clearances per 90 and that’s the 3rd highest in the league behind Rangers and Hib and they are 4th for corners at 5.8 per match and again behind Celtic, Rangers and Hibs.
They average 271 passes per match which is the lowest and pass accuracy is 64% which is the 2nd lowest (after Livingston).
They are the lowest in the league for successful dribbles per 90 at 3.9. Their 47.1% success rates for aerials is the 2nd lowest in the league.
In the games versus Celtic this season Strain and Main were the players that received the most passes. Strain received 19 in the last game (4 from Baccus) and Main in the previous game with 16 (4 from Carson). For passes made Erhahon made 22 in the last game and Strain made 15 in the game before.
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Tony@CelticTrends.com