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Hearts v Celtic (Match Preview)

Match Preview produced for 20MinuteTims

Probabilities for the match are Celtic 71%, Hearts 12% and 17% for the draw.

Hearts v Ross County

In their last league game against Ross County Hearts won 6-1 and the xG was 3.68 to 1.59 in favour of Hearts.

Hearts lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation;

  • 28 Zander Clark

  • 12 Nathaniel Atkinson, 21 Toby Sibbick, 15 Kye Rowles and 19 Alexander Cochrane

  • 14 Cameron Devlin and 5 Peter Haring

  • 88 Yutaro Oda, 9 Lawrence Shankland and 18 Barrie McKay

  • 30 Josh Ginnelly

Centre back James Hill, central midfielder Orestis Kiomourtzoglou, forward Stephen Humphrys, left central midfielder Andy Halliday and attacking midfielder Jorge Grant all came on as subs for Atkinson, Devlin, Ginnelly, Haring and Shankland.

Unused subs were goalkeeper Ross Stewart, left centre back Stephen Kingsley, right midfielder Garang Kuol and right winger Alan Forrest.

Celtic v Hearts (2022/2023)

Celtic have played Hearts four times this season already and Celtic have won all four games with a total of 12 goals for and 4 against. The combined xG being 10.3 for Celtic and 4.3 for Hearts.

Celtic have led for 68.3% of the time in these four games while Hearts have led for 7.5% of the time. 24.2% of the time the teams were drawing.

In these four games Kyogo has scored 3, Giakoumakis and Maeda have scored 2 each and Haksabanovic, Forrest, Mooy, Taylor and Cater-Vickers have scored 1 each.

Mooy has had 2 assists and Juranovic, Johnston, Bernabei, O’Riley, Maeda, Kyogo and Jota have had 1 assist each.

The beest for xG have been Kyogo on 2.5 and Maeda on 1.2 and for xA Jota has 1.0 and Haksabanovic and Mooy have 0.8


Expected line up;

  • Clark is 3rd in the SPFL for goals prevented and 7th for save percentage

  • Atkinson has only 3.7 passes to the final third per 90

  • Sibbick has only 0.02 xG per 90

  • Rowles has 3rd most blocks in the SPFL at 1.1 per 90

  • Cochrane has most passes in SPFL* for a left back at 44.6 per 90

  • Devlin is 2nd best in SPFL* for assists per 90 on 0.22

  • Haring has only played 671 minutes so far this season

  • Oda has 0.36 third assists per 90 which is 2nd in SPFL

  • Shankland has 0.71 xG per 90 but only 0.32 Non Penalty xG per 90

  • McKay is 4th best in SPFL* for xA per 90 on 0.18

  • Ginnelly has 28 chance creating carries which is 3rd best in the SPFL*

*outwith Celtic and Rangers players

I expect Celtic to line up with;

  • Hart

  • Ralston, Starfelt, Kobayashi and Taylor

  • O’Riley, Iwata and McGregor

  • Jota, Kyogo and Maeda


Tynecastle is always a hard place to go and Hearts will be motivated to make sure Celtic don’t win the league on their ground. That along with the fact Celtic will rest some players who are not fully fit means this will be a difficult game.

That said Ange will be determined to win the league in style and I expect Celtic to get the job done with a 3-1 victory. Kyogo, Maeda and Jota all to score 1 goal each.

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