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Hibernian v Celtic (Match Preview)

Match Preview produced for 20MinuteTims https://www.patreon.com/20MinuteTims/posts


Probabilities for the match are Celtic 68%, Hibernian 13% and 19% for the draw.


Hibernian v Rangers

In their last league game against Rangers Hibernian lost 3-1 and the xG was 1.96 to 1.12 in Rangers favour.


Hibernian lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation;

  • 1 David Marshall

  • 26 Conrad Egan-Riley, 25 William Fish, 4 Paul Hanlon and 16 Lewis Stevenson

  • 14 James Jeggo

  • 12 Chris Cadden, 32 Josh Campbell 11 Joe Newell and 23 Thody Elie Youan

  • 15 Kevin Nisbet

This was only two changes from the last time they met Rangers with Newell and Nisbet coming in for Henderson and Hoppe


Jake Doyle-Hayes, Harry McKirdy, Ewan Henderson, Lewis Miller and Matthew Hoppe came on as subs for Jeggo, Cadden, Campbell, Youan and Egan-Riley. Murray Johnson, Marijan Cabraja, Michael Devlin and Rocky Bushiri were unused subs.


Celtic v Hibernian 2022/2023

There have been 3 games between the sides this season and the scores have been 6-0, 4-1 and 3-1 with a combined xG of 9.17 to 1.89 in Celtic’s favour. Celtic are averaging leading in 50 minutes of games versus Hibernian with Hibernian averaging winning in 4 minutes.


Top Celtic players for xG against Hibernian this season are Kyogo with 1.61, Jota with 1.22 and Forrest with 1.21, for Post Shot xG it is Forrest with 1.7, Kyogo with 1.45 and Giakoumakis with 1.3.


For xA it is Jota on 1.1, Haksabanovic on 0.67, Taylor on 0.6 and Mooy on 0.6.


Hibernian 2022/2023

The top 3 rated players (only including those still there) based on WhoScored and FotMob are Newell, Nisbet and Fish with Newell leading the way with ratings of 7.03 (WhoScored) and 7.47 (FotMob).


Looking at Hibernian’s xGD graph below you can see how much it is impacted by games against Celtic and Rangers. In the last 9 games only once has their xGD been more than 0.1.



Expected line up;

  • Ex-Celt keeper David Marshall joined them in the summer from QPR

  • Right back Conrad Egain-Riley is on loan from Burnley

  • Right centre back William Fish is on loan from Manchester United

  • Left centre back Paul Hanlon has 518 appearances

  • Left back Lewis Stevenson has 522 appearances

  • Australian defensive midfielder James Jeggo signed in January

  • Right midfielder Chris Cadden signed in Jan 2021 and has 85 appearances

  • Josh Campbell has come through the ranks at Easter Road

  • Joe Newell has 0.16 xA per 90 this season

  • French wide forward Youan is on loan from Swiss team St Gallen

  • Striker Kevin Nisbet has scored 37 times in 98 games for Hibernian




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