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Hibernian v Celtic (Match Preview)

Updated: Oct 29, 2023


Probabilities for the match are - Celtic 64%, Hibernian 15% and 21% the draw.



Hibernian are 9th in the league on 9pts and they have 13.46 xPts which is 3rd for xPts. They are 3rd for xG on 12.1 (13 goals scored) and they are 4th for xGA on 10.7 (16 goals conceded). Below is their xPts trends graph per game which shows they were unlucky with their draw against Dundee when they had 2.66 xPts.


Hibernian are;

  • 1st for accurate long balls per match at 30.2 and their success rate for long balls is 47.4% which is 2nd.

  • 4th for accurate passes per match at 318, 4th for passing accuracy at 76% and 4th for average possession at 54.4%. (Hearts are 3rd for all three).

  • 3rd bottom for fouls per match (behind Celtic and Dundee) with 10.1 per match meaning they don't commit much fouls.

  • 3rd bottom for successful tackles per match at 9.3.

  • 3rd for Set Play xG this season on 4.04.

  • 5th for PPDA at 11.1

  • The oldest team with an average age of 28.9

  • 1st for dribbles per match at 10.1


Hibernian were away to Rangers in their last game and they lined up with the following;

  • 1 David Marshall

  • 2 Lewis Miller, 5 William Fish, 4 Paul Hanlon and 21 Jordan Obita

  • 10 Martin Boyle, 14 James Jeggo, 11 Joe Newell and 7 Thody Elie Youan

  • 9 Dylan Vente and 19 Adam Le Fondre

Subs used were defensive midfielder Dylan Levitt, centre back Rocky Bushiri, defender Rory Whittaker, midfielder Jair Tavares and striker Christian Doidge and they came on for Jeggo, Hanlon, Miller, Le Fondre and Vente.

Unused subs were goalkeeper Joseph Wollacott, left back Lewis Stevenson, central midfielder Allan Delferriere and attacking midfielder Josh Campbell.

  • Ex-Celt David Marshall is 12th for goals prevented on 14 conceded from 17.6 xGA and he's 12th for save % at 57.6%.

  • Lewis Miller has 2 caps for Australia and he's the highest rated Hibernian player at an average of 7.33 which is 25th in the league.

  • 20 year old William Fish is on loan from Man Utd. He's 5th in league for blocks per 90 at 1.1 and 7th in the league for interceptions per 90 at 2.1

  • 33 year old Paul Hanlon has 536 appearances for Hibernian and he is top of all SPFL players for accurate long balls per 90 at 7.4.

  • Left back Jordan Obita was signed on a free transfer in the summer from Wycombe.

  • 30 year old Martin Boyle has 22 appearances for Australia. He's 7th in the league for xA on 1.7 xA and 21st for xA per 90 at 0.21. He's also 4th for successful dribbles per 90 on 3.0.

  • 31 year old James Jeggo was signed from and he has 15 appearances for Australia. He has played in the A league as well as Belgium and Austria.

  • 30 year old Joe Newell has 157 appearances for Hibernian and he's 17th in the league for xA at 1.3. He is joint 1st for the amount of yellow cards at 4. He was the biggest contributor to Hibernian's xA last season as he contributed 16.9%.

  • Thody Elie Youan has played fo France u19's. He is 17th for xG on 2.2 (scored 2 goals), 3rd for successful dribbles per 90 at 3.1 and he's top of the league for total chance creating carries with 18 (12 shots and 6 key passes). He was the biggest contributor to Hibernian's goal creation last season with 14.7% of the team's xA and 14.7% of the team's Non Penalty xG.

  • Ex-Feyenoord striker Dylan Vente has played for Netherlands u17's and u19's.

  • 36 year old Adam Le Fondre was signed from the A league and he has scored a total of 218 goals in his career which including time playing in the English Premier League. He is 15th in the league for xG on 2.2 (has scored 3 goals) and he's 13th for xhG per 90 at 0.48.

Shop map for the last match against Rangers is below. They had 7 shots with an xG of 0.45.

Kevin Nisbet was their biggest contributor to Non Penalty xG last season with 17.2% of their NP xG coming from him.


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