Probabilities for the match are Celtic 77%, Kilmarnock 7% and 16% for the draw.
Aberdeen v Kilmarnock
In their last league game against Aberdeen Kilmarnock lost 2-0 and the xG was 2.20 to 1.08 in Aberdeen’s favour.
Kilmarnock lined up in a 3-5-1-1 formation;
20 Sam Walker
2 Lewis Mayo, 19 Joe Wright and 3 Jeriel Dorsett
11 Danny Armstrong, 34 David Watson, 17 Brad Lyons, 22 Liam Donnelly and 24 Luke Chambers
10 Jordan Jones
26 Christian Doidge
5 of the starting line up Watson, Chambers, Lyons, Jones and Doidge haven’t started in the 3 games against Celtic so far this season.
Forward Bobby Wales, left midfielder Fraser Murray, forward Scott Robinson and right back Ryan Alebiosu came on as subs.
Zachary Hemming, Ash Taylor, Alan Power, Blair Alston and Kerr McInroy were unused subs.
Kilmarnock v Celtic
In the corresponding fixture in August Celtic won 5-0 with 2.7 xPts and 2.88 xG v 0.69 xG for Kilmarnock. Celtic leading from the 7th minute.
Kyogo, Jota, Jenz, Starfelt and Giakoumakis scored Celtic’s goals from xG totals of 0.63, 0.27, 0.19, 0.82 and 0.17.
Celtic v Kilmarnock
In the reverse fixture in January Celtic won 2-0 with 2.94 xPts and 3.25 xG v 0.08 xG for Kilmarnock. Celtic leading from 45 minutes.
Jota scored one from a total xG of 0.94 and the other goal was an own goal from Ash Taylor.
Celtic v Kilmarnock (Hampden)
In the most recent fixture between the teams (again in January) in the League Cup Semi Final Celtic won 2-0 with 1.65 xG v 2.12 xG for Kilmarnock. Celtic leading from 18 minutes.
Kilmarnock having a 0.47 positive xGD in this game which is the highest non penalty xGD any team in Scotland have had against Celtic this season.
Maeda and Giakoumakis scored Celtic’s two goals and their xG totals were 0.27 and 0.72.
Doidge is their best player for xG per 90 on 0.23 which is 34th in the SPFL and he has 0.11 actual goals per 90. Fraser Murray is their best player for xA per 90 at 0.17 which is 29th in the league. He doesn’t have any assists this season so far.
Expected line up;
Goalkeeper Walker signed in July 2021 from Reading
Right centre back Mayo is on loan from Rangers
Centre back Wright has scored 5 goals this season from 38 appearances
Left centre back Dorsett is on loan from Reading
Right wing back Armstrong has scored 12 goals from 64 appearances
18 year old midfielder Watson has had 4 appearances for Kilmarnock
Central midfielder Lyons signed from Blackburn in 2021
Midfielder Donnelly scored 13 for Motherwell in his 71 games for them
18 year old feft wing back Chambers is on loan from Liverpool
Ex-Rangers forward Jones is on loan from Wigan
Forward Doidge is on loan from Hibs where he had 37 goals for them
In my match prediction in August I predicted Celtic would score 5 goals and I am confident Celtic will do so again in this game.
Celtic scored 5 goals in 4 away matches in the Invincible season and Celtic can equal that this weekend.
My prediction Kilmarnock 0 Celtic 5 with 3 from Kyogo, 1 from Jota and 1 from O’Riley.