Match Preview (Celtic v Hibernian)


Hibs took a dip in NP xGD performance recently when they showed a negative variance between their games against Dundee Utd, Aberdeen, Celtic, Ross County, St Johnstone, Rangers, Motherwell and Livingston. An 8 game spell of negative variance (on 6 game rolling average). Hitting an NP xG 6 game average low of 0.59 during that period.


Ironically they were improving on that (and in particular their NP xG) just as Jack Ross was sacked. Their current 6 game average NP xG is 1.32 and NP xGA is 0.87 giving an NP xGD average of 0.45.



Celtic have a NP xG average of 2.8 this season but the last two games (without Kyogo) have dropped to just under this with 2.57 and 2.56.


Shots haven't decreased with 26 and 25 shots versus our season average of 21 per game.


NP xG per shot for the season 0.133 but in the last game has dropped to 0.1 in each game.


I did some polls yesterday on twitter to gauge fan preference for team line up and the team the fans want is as follows;

- Hart (82% although think it was a joke as should be 100%)

- Ralston (74%), Carter-Vickers & Starfelt partnership (94%) and Scales (35%)

- Rogic, McGregor and Turnbull trio (83%)

- Juranovic (65%), Abada (85%) and Moffat (39%)


Match probabilities are;

- Celtic 65%

- Hibernian 14%

- a draw 21%


My bet for today was 1-0 with Abada to score the goal and Juranovic with an assist. But that was based on Kyogo not playing.


Still think it will be 1-0.



Celtic Trends 🍀📈⚽️



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Tony@CelticTrends.com

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