Motherwell are 4th in the table and this is largely due to their home form as 70% of their points have come from their home games.
Below is Motherwell's xG and xGA graph for last season and this season on a 6 game rolling average. Their xGA trendline is reducing meaning they are conceding less chances to the opposition and their current 6 game average for xGA is only 0.725. The best it has been over last season and this season.
Just under half of Motherwell's NP xG (47%) has come from 2 players (Watt & van Veen). They have lost Tony Watt to Dundee Utd leaving van Veen as their main go to person for chances. van Veen has 5.48 for the season so far with Watt on 4.99 when with Motherwell.
In their last league game Motherwell lined up with;
- 1 Kelly
- 5 Mugabi, 21 Johansen and 3 Carroll
- 2 O'Donnell, 22 Donnelly, 11 Shaw and 19 McGinley
- 16 Slattery and 27 Goss
- 9 van Veen
With Tierney, Woolery and Roberts coming on for Shaw, Slattery and McGinley.
For today's game Motherwell have the same team with the exception of Shaw who is on loan from Celtic and he is replaced by Cornelius who comes in for only his 3rd game of the season.
Motherwell have a positive goal difference of +0.7 when Woolery is playing versus when he is not playing and O'Donnell has a negative difference of -0.96.
41.7% of Motherwell's xG comes from set plays and that is the highest of any team in the SPFL.
Match probabilities are;
- Celtic win 72%
- Motherwell win 10%
- a draw 18%
Before Celtic's game versus Rangers it was 50% v 50% for probability of winning the title and after Celtic's win that has changed to 62% Celtic and 37% Rangers.
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Tony@CelticTrends.com