Probabilities for the match are Celtic 8%, Real Madrid 78% and 14% for the draw.
Below is Real Madrid’s line up from the game at Celtic Park;
Courtois (1)
Carvajal (2), Militao (3), Alaba (4) and Mendy (23)
Modric (10), Tchouameni (18) and Kroos (8)
Valverde (15), Benzema (9) and Vincius (20)
With Hazard, Rudiger, Camavinga, Rodrygo and Asensio coming on for Benzema, Militao, Tchouameni, Modric and Vinicius during the game.
Against Girona at the weekend Real Madrid had Rudiger at right centre half, Camavinga in centre midfield and Rodrygo at centre forward with the rest of the team as per the one at Celtic Park.
In the game at Celtic Park Real Madrid had 1.84 xG compared to Celtic’s 1.27 but Celtic were edging it on chances created until 55 minutes and that is when Real Madrid kicked on.
Possession was 65% v 35% in Real Madrid’s favour.
Vinicius is 8th out of all the Champions League players for xG per 90 at 0.8 with Asensio 4th for xA per 90 at 0.5.
Toni Kroos is 2nd out of all Champions League players for most accurate passes per 90 at 107 and top for most accurate long balls per 90 at 10.4.
Vinicius is top of all Champions League players for successful dribbles per 90 at 5.
Real Madrid need a win to top the group and it’s hard to see them not getting it.
I think Celtic will get beat but I can see Kyogo getting the first goal (at 11/1).
Despite Celtic finishing 4th in this group and many being disappointed with the Champions League campaign there is one positive and that is the fact that Celtic are top of 32 for the least amount of set play chances conceded.
Celtic have conceded only 0.19 xG in total from set plays in the five games combined.
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